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Interannual variation of the seasonal cycle in temperature

Ralf Liebermann

April 10, 2008, 2:00pm
Building 19, Room 4.15 University Potsdam, Campus Neues Palais

Temperature is changing throughout the year and is subject to many
variations regarded as random, partly as a consequence of limited
knowledge and the general inability to calculate the complex dynamics
of climate systems precisely. In this regard any prospects about the
effects of a changing climate on life and human civilization are
linked to the estimations about the evolution of temperature
variablity, especially the dominant cyles of daily and seasonal
variation. The aim of this diploma thesis is to make a geographic
distinguished study about temperature changes in Europe during the
last century along with developing statistical techniques to do so.
According to this, the presentation contains two different approaches:
an exploratory analysis to determine observed changes by means of a
statistical comparison as well as a parametric analysis modeling the
annual cycle with harmonic functions. 

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